Half of Sweden's population could be infected by coronavirus in April, statistician warns | Coronavirus - Daily Mail

• Sweden has confirmed 5,466 cases of coronavirus, 282 deaths from the disease 
• But mathematician thinks that up to 1million Swedes could already be infected 
• Based on his calculations, 5million people could become infected by April 30
• He expects infections to peak around April 15, with hospitals hit two weeks later
• Sweden has so-far resisted calls to go on lockdown like other European nations

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Half of Sweden's population could be infected with coronavirus by the end of the month, a statistician has warned.

Sweden has so far resisted calls to lock the country down like most other European nations, and instead advised people to 'act like adults' and socially distance themselves.
Photo: Via Reuters

Tom Britton, a mathematics professor from Stockholm University, said it is possible that up to a million people are already infected with the virus - though the country has only confirmed 5,466 cases.

Using mathematical models he believes the number of new daily infections will peak around the middle of the month, with up to 5million people infected by April 30...

Since Sweden's social distancing measures were only first introduced two weeks ago, it means they will not yet show in that data. 

Using statistical modelling, Mr Britton explained that he can work forwards from the number of infections three weeks ago to estimate how many are infected now.

The calculations are based on a number known as 'R' - which stands for the number of people the average person with the virus infects before they stop being infectious. 
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Source: Daily Mail