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Sunday, October 27, 2019

Decades of detailed weather reports pulled from old sailor's logs | Science - National Geographic

A database created in part from 19th-century maritime records sharpens our view of climate change over the past 150 years by Madeleine Stone, National Geographic.

Photo: courtesy of Stuart Miles at FreeDigitalPhotos.net
In September of 1879, the Arctic-exploring USS Jeanette was sailing north of the Bering Strait when it was surrounded by ice floes and frozen in place. Imprisoned at sea, the 33-person crew struggled to survive for nearly two years before their ship sank, forcing them to embark on a perilous journey back to civilization. While they were stranded, the crew took down regular observations of the weather—winds, clouds, air pressure, temperature—creating a detailed meteorological record where no others existed.

One hundred and forty years later, that record is now helping scientists reconstruct Earth’s weather and climate history in unprecedented detail.
The USS Jeanette’s logs, which eventually made their way back to the United States along with 13 haggard crewmen led by chief engineer George Melville, were among the very first to be rescued as part of the Old Weather: Arctic project, a citizen science-fueled effort to digitize and transcribe the weather observations made by U.S. military vessels that sailed the Arctic in the 19th and 20th centuries... 

The ‘fog of ignorance’
Today, scientists have myriad satellites and weather stations at their disposal to study the weather. But satellite record keeping only began about 40 years ago, and prior to the mid-20th century there were far fewer weather stations. Scientists can use models to “hindcast” the weather further back in time, but without data to feed into those models, their reconstructions are murky.

“We call it the fog of ignorance,” says Gilbert Compo, a senior research scientist at NOAA’s CIRES.