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Wednesday, March 25, 2020

University mathematician calculates Minnesota COVID-19 cases | Video - KEYC

Take a closer look at this video.

Amid the spread of coronavirus throughout the world, you've likely heard the terminology for the need to "flatten the curve". Minnesota State University, Mankato math teacher Kurt Grunzke, has been studying the growth of the outbreak in Minnesota through algebraic formulas.

There’s a mathematician at MSU Mankato whose been calculating predictions on the growing number COVID-19 cases in Minnesota by Gage Cureton, Multi-Media Journalist.

There’s a mathematician at Minnesota State University, Mankato whose been calculating predictions on the growing number COVID-19 cases in Minnesota.

Minnesota Covid-19 Exponential Growth Part 7
 

Minnesota State University, Mankato math teacher Kurt Grunzke’s predictions for the amount of those infected in Minnesota on Monday were off just by three cases, but he is happy to say that his predictions are slightly off, and Tuesday’s reported cases of 262 were lower than his initial estimate of 324.

He says he doesn't expect to get too close that often this early, and he's using math equations to help educate the public about what they may expect in the future as reported cases continue to grow... 

“The rate is very closely connected to the testing, and when we have testing up like we did yesterday at about 1,000, we found 66 cases. So from looking at two days’ data points, we doubled the number of testing and we about doubled the amount of infections. So as testing goes up we can expect to see more numbers. Another reason we can expect to see more numbers is this basic model of exponential growth that I’m following - that I’m reasonably within a certain degree of error - the numbers are going to get bigger," says Grunzke.
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Source: KEYC and Kurt Grunzke Channel (YouTube)