Coronavirus: What do the statistics show? |
The figures are in absolute numbers and rates and you
have to be a statistician or epidemiologist to understand them. The only
certain figures are the number of patients in hospitals and
mortalities.
The figures on new cases reflect the testing for the
coronavirus and is limited to those with symptoms. Test kits, especially
the reagents, are still in short supply and all countries are trying to
increase the number of tests.
The actual number of infected persons is estimated to 3% to 10% or more
depending on country and could increase to 50% or more if the mitigation
measures taken, such as lockdowns and social distancing, are not
effective...
But in the coming days, we should hopefully see declining growth rates.
According to the American John Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center (link),
which publishes daily updates of the spread of the coronavirus,
flattening the curve involves reducing the number of new COVID-19 cases
from one day to the next.